EPL Predictions: Newcastle United -v- Stoke City
Credit: Extratime Team (ETPhotos)
Newcastle United (19) v Stoke City (14)
None of the predictive methods – Poisson, Rateform and the score prediction heuristic, which tracks the shorter-term trends – see Newcastle losing at St James’ Park on Saturday (3pm).
The score prediction heuristic suggests a win for Newcastle. Poisson and Rateform both indicate a draw.
As our exclusive Poisson matrix (immediately below) shows, the most likely outcome is a 1-1 draw. There is a 12.7 per cent chance of such an occurrence. There is a 36.6pc probability Newcastle will score exactly one goal. There is a 34.6pc chance Stoke will score precisely one.
The score prediction heuristic suggests a 1-0 victory for Newcastle. There is a 9.1pc probability of such an occurrence. There is a 24.8pc chance Stoke will get no goals.
Top three Poisson results: (1) Newcastle 1, Stoke 1 (12.7pc); (2) Newcastle 0, Stoke 1 (11.6pc); (3) Newcastle 1, Stoke 0 (9.1pc).
About Robert Reid
Robert Reid is a sports sub-editor at The Irish Sun. Robert trades the football markets, both here and in the UK. He has the prestigious MSTA designation from the Society of Technical Analysts (STA) in … View Full Profile