League of Ireland Predictions - St Pats -v- Cork City

St Patrick's Athletic (4) v Cork City (2)

The three predictive methods – Poisson (away win), Rateform (draw/borderline away win) and the score prediction heuristic (home win) – are inconclusive. Consequently, this fixture is best avoided.

As our exclusive Poisson matrix (immediately below) shows, the most likely outcome is a 1-0 win for Cork at Richmond Park (7.45pm). There is a 14.4 per cent chance of such an occurrence. There is a 36.6pc probability Cork will score exactly one goal. There is a 39.4pc chance St Pat’s will get no goals.

However, the score prediction heuristic, which tracks the shorter-term trends, suggests a 1-0 (borderline 2-0) win for St Pat’s. There is a 12.2pc chance of a 1-0 victory for St Pat’s. There is a 5.7pc probability of a 2-0 win for St Pat’s.

Top three Poisson results: (1) St Pat’s 0, Cork 1 (14.4pc); (2) St Pat’s 1, Cork 1 (13.4pc); (3) St Pat’s 0, Cork 0 (13.1pc).