League of Ireland Predictions – Gameweek 33 - Saturday

Bray Wanderers (8) v Shamrock Rovers (3)  

Two of the three predictive methods – Poisson and Rateform – favour a win for Shamrock Rovers at the Carlisle Grounds (5.45pm). However, the score prediction heuristic, which tracks the shorter-term trends, favours a win for Bray.

As our exclusive Poisson matrix (immediately below) shows, the most likely outcome is a 1-0 win for Shamrock Rovers. There is a 21.1 per cent chance of such an occurrence. There is a 33.6pc probability Shamrock Rovers will score exactly one goal. There is a 62.8pc chance Bray will get no goals.

The score prediction heuristic suggests a 1-0 win for Bray. There is a 6.6pc probability of such an occurrence. There is a 29.2pc chance Bray will score precisely one goal.

Top three Poisson results: (1) Bray 0, Shamrock Rovers 1 (21.1pc); (2) Bray 0, Shamrock Rovers 2 (15.7pc); (3) Bray 0, Shamrock Rovers 0 (14.2pc).

Limerick FC (12) v Derry City (7)   

All three predictive methods – Poisson, Rateform and the score prediction heuristic, which tracks the shorter-term trends – favour a draw at Markets Field (6.30pm).

As our exclusive Poisson matrix (immediately below) shows, the most likely outcome is a 1-1 draw. There is a 12.6 per cent chance of such an occurrence. There is a 35.2pc probability Limerick will score exactly one goal. There is a 35.8pc chance Derry will score precisely one.

The score prediction heuristic suggests a 3-3 draw. There is just a 1pc probability of such an occurrence.

Top three Poisson results: (1) Limerick 1, Derry 1 (12.6pc); (2) Limerick 1, Derry 0 (10pc); (3) Limerick 0, Derry 1 (9.5pc).

Sligo Rovers (10) v Bohemians (5)

The three predictive methods – Poisson (draw), Rateform (away win) and the score prediction heuristic (home win), which tracks the shorter-term trends – are inconclusive.

As our exclusive Poisson matrix (immediately below) shows, the most likely outcome is a 1-1 draw at the Showgrounds (7.45pm). There is an 11.7 per cent chance of such an occurrence. There is a 36.1pc probability Sligo will score exactly one goal. There is a 32.5pc chance Bohemians will score precisely one.

The score prediction heuristic suggests a 3-2 win for Sligo. There is just a 2.2pc probability of such an occurrence.

Top three Poisson results: (1) Sligo 1, Bohemians 1 (11.7pc); (2) Sligo 0, Bohemians 1 (9.8pc); (3) Sligo 1, Bohemians 2 (9.3pc).