League of Ireland Predictions – Shamrock Rovers -v- Bray Wanderers
Credit: Extratime Team (ETPhotos)
Shamrock Rovers (3) v Bray Wanderers (6)
All three predictive methods – Poisson, Rateform and the score prediction heuristic, which tracks the shorter-term trends – favour a win for Shamrock Rovers against Bray Wanderers in the Airtricity League Premier Division at Tallaght Stadium tonight (8pm).
As our exclusive Poisson matrix (immediately below) shows, the most likely outcome is a 1-0 win for Shamrock Rovers. There is a 21 per cent chance of such an occurrence. There is a 30.9pc probability Rovers will score exactly one goal. There is a 68.1pc chance Bray will get no goals.
The score prediction heuristic suggests a 2-0 win for the Hoops (this is also the second most likely outcome according to the goal probability distribution data). There is an 18pc probability of such an occurrence. There is a 26.5pc chance Rovers will score precisely two goals.
Top three Poisson results: (1) Shamrock Rovers 1, Bray 0 (21pc); (2) Shamrock Rovers 2, Bray 0 (18pc); (3) Shamrock Rovers 0, Bray 0 (12.3pc).
VERDICT: Unanimous, a Shamrock Rovers win, possibly to nil.
About Robert Reid
Robert Reid is a sports sub-editor at The Irish Sun. Robert trades the football markets, both here and in the UK. He has the prestigious MSTA designation from the Society of Technical Analysts (STA) in … View Full Profile