League of Ireland Predictions – Gameweek 27

Bohemians (5) v Dundalk (1)

Two of the three predictive methods – Poisson and Rateform – favour a win for Dundalk at Dalymount Park (7.45pm). The score prediction heuristic, which tracks the shorter-term trends, indicates a draw.

As our exclusive Poisson matrix (immediately below) shows, the most likely outcome is a 2-0 win for Dundalk. There is a 13.1 per cent chance of such an occurrence. There is a 27pc probability Dundalk will score exactly two goals. There is a 48.3pc chance Bohemians will get no goals.

The score prediction heuristic suggests a 2-2 draw. There is a 3.5pc probability of such an occurrence.

Top three Poisson results: (1) Bohemians 0, Dundalk 2 (13.1pc); (2) Bohemians 0, Dundalk 1 (12.6pc); (3) Bohemians 1, Dundalk 1 (9.2pc).

Cork City (2) v Galway United (9)

All three predictive methods – Poisson, Rateform and the score prediction heuristic, which tracks the shorter-term trends – favour a win for Cork at Turner’s Cross (7.45pm).

As our exclusive Poisson matrix (immediately below) shows, the most likely outcome is an almost equally probable 2-0 or 3-0 win for Cork. There is a 12.4 per cent chance Cork will win 3-0. There is a 12.3pc probability Cork will win 2-0. There is a 22.4pc chance Cork will score exactly three goals. There is a 22.1pc probability Cork will score precisely two. There is a 55.5pc chance Galway will get no goals.

The score prediction heuristic suggests a 3-2 win for Cork. There is a 2.2pc probability of such an occurrence.

Top three Poisson results: (1) Cork 3, Galway 0 (12.4pc); (2) Cork 2, Galway 0 (12.3pc); (3) Cork 4, Galway 0 (9.4pc).

Drogheda United (8) v Limerick FC (12)

All three predictive methods – Rateform, Poisson and the score prediction heuristic, which tracks the shorter-term trends – favour a draw at United Park (7.45pm).

As our exclusive Poisson matrix (immediately below) shows, the most likely outcome is a 1-1 draw. There is a 10.7 per cent chance of such an occurrence. There is a 30pc probability Drogheda will score exactly one goal. There is a 35.4pc chance Limerick will get precisely one.

The score prediction heuristic suggests a 3-3 draw. There is a 1.6pc probability of such an occurrence.

Top three Poisson results: (1) Drogheda 1, Limerick 1 (10.7pc); (2) Drogheda 2, Limerick 1 (9.4pc); (3) Drogheda 1, Limerick 0 (8.2pc).

St Patrick’s Athletic (4) v Derry City (10)

All three predictive methods – Poisson, Rateform and the score prediction heuristic, which tracks the shorter-term trends – favour a win for St Pat’s at Richmond Park (7.45pm).

As our exclusive Poisson matrix (immediately below) shows, the most likely outcome is a 1-0 win for St Pat’s. There is an 18.1 per cent chance of such an occurrence. There is a 29pc probability St Pat’s will score exactly one goal. There is a 62.5pc chance Derry will get no goals.

The score prediction heuristic suggests a 3-1 win for St Pat’s. There is a 4.9pc probability of such an occurrence.

Top three Poisson results: (1) St Pat’s 1, Derry 0 (18.1pc); (2) St Pat’s 2, Derry 0 (16.8pc); (3) St Pat’s 3, Derry 0 (10.4pc).

Cabinteely (7) v Finn Harps (3)

Two of the three predictive methods – Poisson and Rateform – favour a win for Finn Harps at Stradbrook (7.45pm). The score prediction heuristic, which tracks the shorter-term trends, indicates a draw.

As our exclusive Poisson matrix (immediately below) shows, the most likely outcome is a 1-0 win for Finn Harps. There is a 16.7 per cent chance of such an occurrence. There is a 30.8pc probability Finn Harps will score exactly one goal. There is a 54.2pc chance Cabinteely will get no goals.

The score prediction heuristic suggests a 2-2 draw. There is a 2.7pc probability of such an occurrence.

Top three Poisson results: (1) Cabinteely 0, Finn Harps 1 (16.7pc); (2) Cabinteely 0, Finn Harps 2 (14.4pc); (3) Cabinteely 1, Finn Harps 1 (10.2pc).

Shelbourne (4) v UCD (2)

Two of three predictive methods – Poisson and Rateform – favour a win for UCD at Tolka Park (7.45pm). However, the score prediction heuristic, which tracks the shorter-term trends, indicates a win for Shelbourne.

As our exclusive Poisson matrix (immediately below) shows, the most likely outcome is a 1-0 win for UCD. There is a 14.1 per cent chance of such an occurrence. There is a 31.6pc probability UCD will score exactly one goal. There is a 44.6pc chance Shelbourne will get no goals.

The score prediction heuristic suggests a 1-0 win for Shelbourne. There is a 6.8pc probability of such an occurrence.

Top three Poisson results: (1) Shelbourne 0, UCD 1 (14.1pc); (2) Shelbourne 0, UCD 2 (11.7pc); (3) Shelbourne 1, UCD 1 (11.4pc).

Waterford United (8) v Wexford Youths (1)

All three predictive methods – Poisson, Rateform and the score prediction heuristic, which tracks the shorter-term trends – favour a win for Wexford Youths at the RSC (7.45pm).

As our exclusive Poisson matrix (immediately below) shows, the most likely outcome is a 2-0 win for Wexford Youths. There is a 10.8 per cent chance of such an occurrence. There is a 23.7pc probability Wexford Youths will score exactly two goals. There is a 45.8pc chance Waterford will get no goals.

The score prediction heuristic suggests a 4-0 win for Wexford Youths. There is a 7.2pc chance of such an occurrence.

Top three Poisson results: (1) Waterford 0, Wexford Youths 2 (10.8pc); (2) Waterford 0, Wexford Youths 3 (10.2pc); (3) Waterford 1, Wexford Youths 2 (8.5pc).